Filed under prediction-error
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What is Prediction Error?
No model hits the nail on the head all the time. It is just not possible. It can predict something with a certain level of confidence. It is better than perception. At any point, the predictions could be wrong. To determine the valid…
About
I am a veteran. I spent years in intelligence analysis, where being confidently wrong carried a cost, and that is where I learned to separate what evidence shows from what it suggests. I have a master's in journalism and communications, and I am finishing a doctorate in data science on how findings get communicated. I work in English and Portuguese.