Anomaly Detection in Multifamily Water Usage

Anomaly Detection in Multifamily Water Usage

Overview

As a business intelligence analyst in the multifamily housing industry, I developed a billing system automation and an early anomaly detection system.

Details

In 2008, during the economic downturn, the company assumed responsibility for utility billing. With nearly 500 units spread across four complexes, the initial billing process was manual and prone to errors. Often, when bills were high, property managers gave credit for the bills they should have been collecting. The problem escalated over time, resulting in less than 70% of the water bills being collected.

Problem Statement

Despite a large investment in sophisticated submeters for four different complexes, the company is still struggling to collect on water bills. A large gap remains between what each complex pays to the water utility company and the amount it collects earmarked for that purpose.

Investigation and Root Cause Analysis

By reviewing historical meter data and observing usage spikes, I discovered a pattern: isolated, sharp consumption increases. In one case, a continuously running toilet in a vacant unit turned out to be the culprit. The hypothesis: toilet flapper malfunction.

Solution: Early Warning System

Instead of waiting for monthly billing cycles, I proposed a proactive approach—weekly anomaly detection. The goal was to catch abnormal water usage before residents were billed.

Data Preparation

  • Collected over 12 months of historical meter readings

  • Enriched the data with units metadata

  • Stratified data by apartment

  • Removed statistically insignificant factors using the Kruskal-Wallis test

Statistical Methods Used

Tukey Fence
IQR-based anomaly detection
Kruskal-Wallis Test
Non-parametric feature significance
Coefficient of Variation
Seasonality detection metric

Technologies & Tools Used

Excel
Excel VBA
MS Word